Thinking Like an Economist


Thinking Like an Economist

  • Economics trains you to…
    • Think in terms of alternatives.
    • Evaluate the cost of individual and social choices.
    • Examine and understand how certain events and issues are related.

The Economist as a Scientist

  • The economic way of thinking…
    • Involves thinking analytically and objectively.
    • Makes use of the scientific method.
  • The Scientific Method: Observation, Theory, and More Observation
    • Uses abstract models to help explain how a complex, real world operates.
    • Develops theories, collects, and analyzes data to evaluate the theories.
  • The Role of Assumptions
    • Economists make assumptions to make the world easier to understand.
    • The art in scientific thinking is deciding which assumptions to make.
    • Economists use different assumptions to answer different questions.

Economic Models

  • Economists use models to simplify reality to improve our understanding of the world.
  • Two of the most basic economic models include:
    • The Circular Flow Diagram
    • The Production Possibilities Frontier

Our First Model: The Circular-Flow Diagram

  • The circular-flow diagram is a visual model of the economy that shows how dollars flow through markets among households and firms.

Our Second Model: The Production Possibilities Frontier

  • The production possibilities frontier is a graph that shows the combinations of output that the economy can possibly produce given the available factors of production and the available production technology.
  • Concepts Illustrated by the Production Possibilities Frontier
    • Efficiency
    • Tradeoffs
    • Opportunity Cost
    • Economic Growth
  • PPC shape meaning
    • bowed out: increasing opportunity cost btw the 2 compared products
    • bowed in: decreasing opportunity cost btw the 2 compared products

Microeconomics and Macroeconomics

  • Microeconomics focuses on the individual parts of the economy.
    • How households and firms make decisions and how they interact in specific markets
  • Macroeconomics looks at the economy as a whole.
    • Economy-wide phenomena, including inflation, unemployment, and economic growth

The Economist as Policy Advisor

  • When economists are trying to explain the world, they are scientists.
  • When economists are trying to change the world, they are policy advisors.

Positive Versus Normative Analysis

  • Positive statements are statements that attempt to describe the world as it is.
    • Called descriptive analysis
  • Normative statements are statements about how the world should be.
    • Called prescriptive analysis

Positive or Normative Statements?

  • Positive
    • An increase in the minimum wage will cause a decrease in employment among the least-skilled.
    • Higher federal budget deficits will cause interest rates to increase.
  • normative
    • The income gains from a higher minimum wage are worth more than any slight reductions in employment.
    • State governments should be allowed to collect from tobacco companies the costs of treating smoking-related illnesses among the poor.

Economists in Washington

  • Serve as advisers in the policymaking process of the three branches of government:
    • Legislative
    • Executive
    • Judicial
  • Some government agencies that collect economic data and make economic policy:
    • Department of Commerce
    • Bureau of Labor Statistics
    • Congressional Budget Office
    • Federal Reserve Board

Why Economists Disagree

  • They may disagree about the validity of alternative positive theories about how the world works.
  • They may have different values and, therefore, different normative views about what policy should try to accomplish.

Summary

  • Economists try to address their subjects with a scientist’s objectivity.
    • They make appropriate assumptions and build simplified models to understand the world around them.
    • Two simple economic models are the circular-flow diagram and the production possibilities frontier.
  • Economics is divided into two subfields:
  • Microeconomists study decision-making by households and firms in the marketplace.
  • Macroeconomists study the forces and trends that affect the economy as a whole
  • A positive statement is an assertion about how the world is.

  • A normative statement is an assertion about how the world ought to be.

  • When economists make normative statements, they are acting more as policy advisors than scientists.

  • Economists who advise policymakers offer conflicting advice either because of differences in scientific judgments or because of differences in values.

  • At other times, economists are united in the advice they offer, but policymakers may choose to ignore it.